News Analysis: Analysts say Google may be spending more than $1 billion on infrastructure projects, including purchases of a "dark fiber" backbone. The reason for the purchases is a riddle to the industry, but one Internet consultant rThe market is still guessing about Google's continued purchases of "dark fiber" and what that will mean to the Internet. Yet another explanation was floated at a recent IT conference: IPv6, the next-generation Internet standard.
During a debate on the adoption of Internet Protocol Version 6 at the Burton Group's annual Catalyst conference in San Francisco, Alex Lightman, CEO of IP telephony vendor Innofone.com, offered a new reason for Google's expenditures on dark fiber.
His observation came during a dialogue on Internet addressing and the lack of support by service providers for IPv6. He is worried that the United States is focused on the present and is not addressing future needs.
According to Lightman, some service providers are preparing for IPv6. He ran down a list of companies with "slash 20" addresses.
"You know who else has a big pot of slash 20? Google," Lightman said. "Yahoo does too. It's not that service providers aren't doing it—it's the savvy service providers, with the high multiples and visionary management, that are getting ready to go into it.
"This is why Google bought mobile dark fiber. It's to go out and go: 'All these bozos in America aren't rolling out IPv6, so we'll do it if they aren't going to,'" he said.
Lightman said that Google hired Vint Cerf in September 2005 as vice president and chief Internet evangelist in order to lead the company's IPv6 strategy.
Cerf and other IPv6 proponents point to the increasing demand for IP addresses from mobile devices, such as phones and handhelds, but also automobiles. Support for the growing number of static and mobile devices in the world with IPv4 and NAT routers will become problematic some time over the next five to 10 years, analysts said at the Burton conference, disagreeing on whether demand for addresses will become critical sooner.
With IPv6, the Internet will be able to handle trillions of individual addresses.
According to telecom industry reports, Google said its capital expenditures will exceed the $800 million in 2005. Analysts suggest that the actual amount may be in the $1.25 billion range. Some suggest that a portion of this investment is going into purchases of dark fiber, or unused fiber-optic telecommunications infrastructure built in the late 1990s.
What Google is doing now with the global infrastructure—or, more to the point, what it plans to do in the future—has sparked plenty of speculation in the telecommunications and computer industry. Aside from the IPv6 applications and services theory proposed by Lightman, other candidates have included the following:
Google Video. Google launched its video download store in January to much fanfare. While the jury is still out, Internet video is a growing market and Google wants to be a big part of that story.
Google Wi-Fi. Google is moving forward with municipal Wi-Fi networking plans for Mountain View, Calif., near its headquarters as well as San Francisco, being built by Internet provider EarthLink, and possibly one in New Orleans. The dark fiber backbone could give the company leverage for expansion to other cities and states, even allowing the company to take over as a provider.
Grid computing. Google will build out distributed data centers near access points to improve performance for search results and its ad serving business, as well as create a grid computing services operation.
SAAS (software as a service). Google will expand its services to consumers and businesses, requiring expanded network bandwidth. The dark fiber purchases are a Web 2.0 content and application services play.
